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Revenue Index Curves: Maximizing Gross Sales through Pricing Research

 

You’ve conducted a pricing survey and have come up with a list of prices and purchase likelihoods at each price (see Willingness to Pay, Monadic Price Testing, Sequential Monadic Testing and Conjoint Analysis for techniques to get you there). While there are dozens of pricing strategies for a firm to follow, from maximizing market share to maximizing profitability, maximizing gross sales is a common strategy.

revenue index curves

For sake of illustration, let’s look at the following fabricated data about likelihood to buy a tablet computer at different prices:

revenue index curve 1

According to this data, to maximize unit sales, a tablet computer should be priced at $300. At lower prices, presumably, consumers think the table computer is too underpowered to be useful.

What’s the best price to maximize gross sales instead?

For this, we multiply each price point by its corresponding purchase likelihood, then divide by the maximize price we find, to create a revenue index.

revenue index curve 2

Performing this analysis shows that $500 produces the greatest gross sales. Lowering the price to $400 actually produces only 93% of the gross sales at $500, while raising the price to $600 generates under two-thirds of the gross sales at $500.

The next question to ask is about maximizing profits. This becomes more complex, requiring accounting for channel margin, fixed costs, variable costs and – for products as opposed to services – economies of scale at different manufacturing volumes. Such models are highly specific to each firm, its channel and its capabilities.

For the simpler question of maximizing gross sales, calculating a revenue index is a basic but useful analytical technique.

Comments

Very interesting but this assumes that if someone was likely to purchase at a price then they are ONLY likely to purchase there and not at an adjacent (and higher) point. Is this realistic?
Posted @ Tuesday, March 08, 2011 12:36 PM by Sam Klaidman
Nice to hear from you, Sam! 
 
To be clear, if you total the percents in the example its 161%, as many people are likely to purchase at multiple price points (and some won't purchase at any price point). See Sequential Monadic testing for a more detailed example. Also see Van Westendorp Price Sensitivity Meter for why some prices are too low.
Posted @ Tuesday, March 08, 2011 1:23 PM by Jeffrey Henning
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